Penile cancer risk

The estimated lifetime risk of being diagnosed with penile cancer is 1 in 400 (less than 1%) for males born in 1961 in the UK. [1]

These figures have been calculated on the assumption that the possibility of having more than one diagnosis of penile cancer over the course of a lifetime is very low ('Current Probability' method).[2]

See also

Lifetime risk for all cancers combined and cancers compared

Penile cancer incidence statistics

How risk is calculated

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References

1. Lifetime risk estimates calculated by the Cancer Intelligence Team at Cancer Research UK 2023.
2. Estève J, Benhamou E, Raymond L. Statistical methods in cancer research. Volume IV. Descriptive epidemiology. IARC Sci Publ. 1994;(128):1-302.

About this data

Data is for UK, past and projected cancer incidence and mortality and all-cause mortality rates for those born in 1961, ICD-10 C15.

Calculated by the Cancer Intelligence Team at Cancer Research UK, 2023 (as yet unpublished). Lifetime risk of being diagnosed with cancer for people in the UK born in 1961. Based on method from Esteve et al. 1994 [2], using projected cancer incidence (using data up to 2018) calculated by the Cancer Intelligence Team at Cancer Research UK and projected all-cause mortality (using data up to 2020, with adjustment for COVID impact) calculated by Office for National Statistics. Differences from previous analyses are attributable mainly toslowing pace of improvement in life expectancy, and also to slowing/stabilising increases in cancer incidence.

Last reviewed: 14 December 2023

63% of penile cancer cases in the UK are preventable.[1]

See also

Want to generate bespoke preventable cancers stats statements? Download our interactive statement generator

Find out more about the definitions and evidence for this data

Learn how attributable risk is calculated

References

1. Brown KF, Rumgay H, Dunlop C, et al. The fraction of cancer attributable to known risk factors in England, Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland, and the UK overall in 2015. British Journal of Cancer 2018. 

Last reviewed: 6 June 2018

International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) classifies the role of this risk factor in cancer development.[1] 63% of penile cancer cases in the UK are caused by HPV infection.[2]

Around 45-63% of penile squamous cell carcinomas are HPV-positive, systematic reviews and registry studies have shown; there is some evidence of variation between world regions.[3,4,5] HPV type 16 is the most common type in penile squamous cell carcinomas, followed by HPV types 18 and 6.[3,4,5]

See also

Learn how attributable risk is calculated

View our health information about HPV infection and cancer

References

1. International Agency for Research on Cancer. List of Classifications by cancer sites with sufficient or limited evidence in humans, Volumes 1 to 122*. Accessed September 2018.
2. Brown KF, Rumgay H, Dunlop C, et al. The fraction of cancer attributable to known risk factors in England, Wales, Scotland, Northern Ireland, and the UK overall in 2015. British Journal of Cancer 2018. 
3. Backes DM, Kurman RJ, Pimenta JM, et al. Systematic review of human papillomavirus prevalence in invasive penile cancer. Cancer Causes Control. 2009 May;20(4):449-57.
4. Miralles-Guri C, Bruni L, Cubilla AL, et al. Human papillomavirus prevalence and type distribution in penile carcinoma. J Clin Pathol. 2009 Oct;62(10):870-8.
5. Saraiya M, Unger ER, Thompson TD, et al. US assessment of HPV types in cancers: implications for current and 9-valent HPV vaccines. J Natl Cancer Inst. 2015 Apr 29;107(6):djv086.

Last reviewed: 1 October 2018

International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) classifies the role of this risk factor in cancer development.[1]

Penile cancer risk is around 4 times as high in people with HIV/AIDS compared with the general population, a meta-analysis showed.[2] This may reflect higher rates of human papillomavirus (HPV) infection in men with HIV.[3]

See also

Learn how attributable risk is calculated

View our health information on infections and cancer

References

1. International Agency for Research on Cancer. List of Classifications by cancer sites with sufficient or limited evidence in humans, Volumes 1 to 122*. Accessed September 2018.
2. Grulich AE, van Leeuwen MT, Falster MO, et al. Incidence of cancers in people with HIV/AIDS compared with immunosuppressed transplant recipients: a meta-analysis. Lancet. 2007 Jul 7;370(9581):59-67.
3. Olesen TB, Munk C, Christensen J, et al. Human papillomavirus prevalence among men in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Sex Transm Infect. 2014 Sep;90(6):455-62.

Last reviewed: 1 October 2018

Penile cancer risk among men who were not circumcised in childhood is at least 5 times as high in those with a history of phimosis (inability to retract the foreskin over the glans), compared with those without a history of phimosis, case-control studies have shown.[1-4]

Invasive penile carcinoma risk is 67% lower in men circumcised as a child or adolescent, a meta-analysis showed; this is probably partly due to circumcision reducing the risk of phimosis.[5]

See also

Find out more about the definitions and evidence for this data

Learn how attributable risk is calculated

References

1. Madsen BS, van den Brule AJ, Jensen HL, et al. Risk factors for squamous cell carcinoma of the penis--population-based case-control study in Denmark. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2008 Oct;17(10):2683-91.
2. Tsen HF, Morgenstern H, Mack T, et al. Risk factors for penile cancer: results of a population-based case-control study in Los Angeles County (United States). Cancer Causes Control. 2001 Apr;12(3):267-77.
3. Brinton LA, Li JY, Rong SD, Huang S, et al. Risk factors for penile cancer: results from a case-control study in China. Int J Cancer. 1991 Feb 20;47(4):504-9.
4. Daling JR, Madeleine MM, Johnson LG, et al. Penile cancer: importance of circumcision, human papillomavirus and smoking in in situ and invasive disease. Int J Cancer. 2005 Sep 10;116(4):606-16.
5. Larke NL, Thomas SL, dos Santos Silva I, et al. Male circumcision and penile cancer: a systematic review and meta-analysis(link is external). Cancer Causes Control. 2011 Aug;22(8):1097-110. doi: 10.1007/s10552-011-9785-9.

Last reviewed: 1 October 2018