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Prostate cancer incidence statistics

Incidence statistics for prostate cancer by country in the UK, age and trends over time are presented here. There are also data on lifetime risk, geography, socio-economic variation and prevalence. 

Find out more about the coding and counting of this data

 

By country in the UK

 Prostate cancer is the most common cancer in men in the UK (2011), accounting for 25% of all new cases of cancer in males.1-4  In 1990, both lung and bowel cancers were more common in males than prostate cancer, but by 1998 prostate cancer was the most common cancer in UK males.

In 2011, there were 41,736 new cases of prostate cancer in males in the UK (Table 1.1).1-4 The crude incidence rate shows that there are 134 new prostate cancer cases for every 100,000 males in the UK.

The European age-standardised incidence rate (AS rate) is significantly lower in Scotland, compared with the other constituent countries of the UK (Table 1.1).1-4

Table 1:1: Prostate Cancer (C61), Number of New Cases, Crude and European Age-Standardised (AS) Incidence Rates per 100,000 Population, Males, UK, 2011

England Wales Scotland Northern Ireland UK
Cases 35,567 2,346 2,817 1,006 41,736
Crude Rate 136.1 155.9 110.5 113.1 134.3
AS Rate 106.7 107.0 84.8 100.7 104.7
AS Rate - 95% LCL 105.6 102.7 81.7 94.5 103.7
AS Rate - 95% UCL 107.8 111.3 88.0 106.9 105.7

Download this table XLS (31KB) PPT (132KB) PDF (17KB)

95% LCL and 95% UCL are the 95% lower and upper confidence limits around the AS rate

The latest analysis of prostate cancer incidence rates throughout the UK shows that in England now, as in the 1990s, there is little geographical variation in prostate cancer incidence: rates are lowest in the north, and higher than average in many parts of London and the south.5-7 In Scotland, rates are highest in the south-east; and in Wales there is little variation between regions.6,7

section reviewed 07/05/14
section updated 07/05/14

 

By age

Prostate cancer incidence is strongly related to age, with the highest incidence rates being in older men. In the UK between 2009 and 2011, an average of 36% of cases were diagnosed in men aged 75 years and over, and only 1% were diagnosed in the under-50s (Figure 1.1).1-4 Age-specific incidence rates rise sharply from around age 50-54, reaching an overall peak in the 75-79 age group. For men aged 55-59 the incidence rate is 166 per 100,000 men; ten years later, at age 65-69, the rate more than triples to 560 per 100,000, and by 75-79 the rate is almost five times higher at 800 per 100,000. The slight drop in incidence rates in the oldest age groups may reflect less use of prostate specific antigen (PSA) testing in men over 80.8

 The age distribution of prostate cancer cases has changed over time: in 1975-1984, 46% of cases were diagnosed in men aged 75 and over, compared with 36% in 2009-2011. This is probably largely due to the incidental discovery of early stage prostate cancers following transurethral resection of the prostate (TURP) and, more recently, the use of PSA testing.12

Figure 1.1: Prostate Cancer (C61), Average Number of New Cases per Year and Age-Specific Incidence Rates, Males, UK, 2009-2011

cases_crude_prostate.swf

Download this chart XLS (57KB) PPT (132KB) PDF (17KB)

section reviewed 07/05/14
section updated 07/05/14

 

Trends over time

Substantial increases in incidence have been reported in recent years for many countries around the world, including the UK.9,10 Much of the increase in incidence both in the UK and in many other countries worldwide can be attributed to incidental detection of prostate cancers following TURP and PSA testing.10,11

Prostate cancer incidence rates have increased overall in Great Britain since the mid-1970s (Figure 1.2).1-3 European AS incidence rates increased more than threefold (225% increase) between 1975-1977 and 2009-2011. This overall rise comprises periods of particularly rapid increase during the early 1990s (44% increase between 1989-1991 and 1994-1996) and early 2000s (34% increase between 1997-1999 and 2002-2004); these periods correspond with the introduction of PSA testing from the late 1980s,12-14 and with increasing rates of PSA testing around the late 1990s.15,16 Recruitment to the CAP arm of the ProtecT trial in the early 2000s, in which men aged 50-69 were randomised to receive PSA testing in primary care, may also have contributed to the increase.17

Figure 1.2: Prostate Cancer (C61), European Age-Standardised Incidence Rates, Males, Great Britain, 1975-2011

inc_asr_gb_prostate.swf

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Prostate cancer incidence trends for the UK are shown in Figure 1.3.1-4 Over the last decade (between 2000-2002 and 2009-2011), the European AS incidence rates have increased by 16%.

Figure 1.3: Prostate Cancer (C61), European Age-Standardised Incidence Rates, Males, UK, 1993-2011

inc_asr_uk_prostate.swf

Download this chart XLS (45KB) PPT (127KB) PDF (36KB)

Prostate cancer incidence rates have increased overall for all of the broad age groups in Great Britain since the mid-1970s (Figure 1.4).1-3 The largest increase has been in men aged 45-54, with European AS incidence rates increasing almost nine-fold between 1975-1977 and 2009-2011. The rapid increase during the early 1990s (thought to be largely attributable to the introduction of PSA testing) was most pronounced for the 45-54 and 55-64 age groups, with a 68% increase between 1989-1991 and 1994-1996 in both groups, although these are based on relatively small numbers. Rates have continued to rise for the 45-54, 55-64 and 65-74 age groups, but for men aged 75-84 and 85+, rates have decreased since the early 2000s, dropping by 6% and 22% respectively between 2002-2004 and 2009-2011. This may be due to diagnosis of early prostate cancers in younger men through PSA testing, leaving increasingly fewer cases which have not yet been diagnosed by the time men reach their 70s and 80s.10

Figure 1.4: Prostate Cancer (C61), European Age-Standardised Incidence Rates, by Age, Males, Great Britain, 1975-2011

inc_asr_age_prostate.swf

Download this chart XLS (62KB) PPT (137KB) PDF (68KB)

Analyses of prostate cancer incidence trends in Scotland, the US, Australia, Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland indicate that increased detection through TURP and PSA testing is implicated in the apparent increases in incidence in those countries.18-22

It is estimated that 75% of US men aged 50 years and older have had a PSA test.23 In Europe, the level of population screening is much lower, with published estimates of 10-20%.10

section reviewed 07/05/14
section updated 07/05/14

Lifetime risk

Lifetime risk is an estimation of the risk that a newborn child has of being diagnosed with cancer at some point during their life. It is a summary of risk in the population but genetic and lifestyle factors affect the risk of cancer and so the risk for every individual is different.

In 2010, in the UK, the lifetime risk of developing prostate cancer is 1 in 8.24

The lifetime risk for prostate cancer has been calculated by the Statistical Information Team using the ‘Current Probability’ method; this is a different method used from most other cancer sites since the possibility of having more than one diagnosis of prostate cancer over the course of their lifetime is very low.35

section reviewed 25/04/13
section updated 25/04/13

 

In Europe and worldwide

Prostate cancer is the most common cancer in Europe for males, and the third most common cancer overall, with around 417,000 new cases diagnosed in 2012 (3% of male cases and 12% of the total). In Europe (2012), the highest World age-standardised incidence rates for prostate cancer are in Norway; the lowest are in Albania. UK prostate cancer incidence rates are estimated to be the 17th highest in Europe.27 These data are broadly in line with Europe-specific data available elsewhere.28

Prostate cancer is the second most common cancer worldwide for males, and the fourth most common cancer overall, with more than 1,111,000 new cases diagnosed in 2012 (15% of male cases and 8% of the total). Prostate cancer incidence rates are highest in Australia/New Zealand and lowest in South Central Asia, but this partly reflects varying data quality worldwide.27

Use our interactive map to explore the data for prostate cancer.

Variation between countries may reflect different prevalence of risk factors, use of screening, and diagnostic methods.

section reviewed 11/06/14
section updated 11/06/14

 

By socio-economic variation

There is evidence for an association between prostate cancer incidence and deprivation in England, with prostate cancer being one of the few cancers where incidence rates are lower for more deprived males.30 England-wide data for 2006-2010 show European age-standardised incidence rates are 17% lower for males living in the most deprived areas compared with the least deprived (Figure 1.5).30

Figure 1.5: Prostate Cancer (C61), European Age-Standardised Incidence Rates by Deprivation Quintile, Males, England, 2006-2010

dep_inc_bar_prostate.swf

Download this chart XLS (44KB) PPT (125KB) PDF (40KB)

The estimated gap in prostate cancer incidence between males living in the most and least deprived areas in England has not changed in the period 1996-2010. It has been estimated that there would have been around 2,500 more prostate cancer cases each year in England during 2006-2010 if all males experienced the same incidence rates as the least deprived.30

Associations with deprivation have also been investigated for mortality.

section reviewed 29/05/14
section updated 29/05/14

By ethnicity

Age-standardised rates for White males with prostate cancer range from 96.0 to 99.9 per 100,000. Rates for Asian males are significantly lower, ranging from 28.7 to 60.6 per 100,000 whereas the rates for Black males are significantly higher, ranging from 120.8 to 247.9 per 100,000.36

Ranges are given because of the analysis methodology used to account for missing and unknown data. For prostate cancer, 146,905 cases were identified; 37% had no known ethnicity.

There are similar differences by major ethnic group in the United States.37 Black men may be diagnosed younger compared with white men, but factors around diagnosis do not fully explain the association between ethnicity and prostate cancer incidence.38,39

section reviewed 07/05/14
section updated 07/05/14

 

Prevalence

Prevalence refers to the number of people who have previously received a diagnosis of cancer and who are still alive at a given time point. Some patients will have been cured of their disease and others will not.

In the UK more than 181,000 men were still alive at the end of 2006, up to ten years after being diagnosed with prostate cancer (Table 1.2).34

Table 1.2: Prostate Cancer (C61) Prevalence in the UK, at 31st December 2006

1 Year Prevalence 5 Year Prevalence 10 Year Prevalence
Male 31,452 127,630 181,463

Download this table XLS (30KB) PPT (117KB) PDF (15KB)

Worldwide, it is estimated that there were around 3.20 million men still alive in 2008, up to five years after their diagnosis.26

section reviewed 17/05/13
section updated 17/05/13

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References for prostate cancer incidence

  1. Data were provided by the Office for National Statistics on request, July 2013. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/vsob1/cancer-statistics-registrations--england--series-mb1-/index.html.
  2. Data were provided by ISD Scotland on request, May 2013. Similar data can be found here: http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Cancer/Publications/index.asp.
  3. Data were provided by the Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit on request, June 2013. Similar data can be found here: http://www.wales.nhs.uk/sites3/page.cfm?orgid=242&pid=59080.
  4. Data were provided by the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry on request, June 2013. Similar data can be found here: http://www.qub.ac.uk/research-centres/nicr/CancerData/OnlineStatistics/.
  5. Quinn M, Wood H, Cooper N, Rowan S, eds. Cancer Atlas of the United Kingdom and Ireland 1991–2000. Studies on Medical and Population Subjects No. 68. London: ONS; 2005.
  6. NCIN. Cancer Incidence and Mortality by Cancer Network, UK, 2005. London: NCIN; 2008.
  7. NCIN. Cancer e-Atlas. Accessed January 2013.
  8. Williams N, Hughes LJ, Turner EL, et al. Prostate-specific antigen testing rates remain low in UK general practice: a cross-sectional study in six English cities. BJU Int 2011;108(9):1402-8.
  9. Hsing AW, Tsao L, Devesa SS. International Trends and Patterns of Prostate Cancer Incidence and Mortality. International Journal of Cancer (Pred.Oncol) 2000; 85:60-67.
  10. Bray F, Lortet-Tieulent J, Ferlay J, et al. Prostate cancer incidence and mortality trends in 37 European countries: an overview. Eur J Cancer 2010; 46:3040-52.
  11. Quinn M, Babb P. Patterns and trends in prostate cancer incidence, survival, prevalence and mortality. Part I: international comparison. BJU Int 2002; 90:162-73.
  12. Brewster D, Fraser L, Harris V. Rising incidence of prostate cancer in Scotland: increased risk or increased detection? BJU International 2000; 85: 463-473.
  13. Pashayan N, Powles J, Brown C, et al. Incidence trends of prostate cancer in East Anglia, before and during the era of PSA diagnostic testing. Br J Cancer 2006;95(3):398-400.
  14. UK National Screening Committee. Screening for Prostate Cancer. Review against programme appraisal criteria for the UK National Screening Committee (UK NSC). London: UKNSC; 2010.
  15. Melia J, Moss S. Survey of the rate of PSA testing in general practice. Br J Cancer 2001;85(5):656-7.
  16. Melia J, Coulson P, Johns L, et al. Report to the Department of Health. Study to assess the rate of PSA testing in men with no previous diagnosis of prostate cancer (Mapping of PSA testing: Part II). 2003.
  17. Lane JA, Hamdy FC, Martin RM, et al. Latest results from the UK trials evaluating prostate cancer screening and treatment: the CAP and ProtecT studies. Eur J Cancer 2010;46(17):3095-101.
  18. Potosky A, Kessler L, Gridley G, et al. Rise in Prostatic Cancer Incidence Associated with Increased Use of Transurethral Resection JNCI 1990; 82: 1624-1627.
  19. Potosky A, Miller BA, Albertsen PC, et al. The Role of Increasing Detection in the Rising Incidence of Prostate Cancer JAMA 1995: 273; 548-552
  20. Threlfall T, English D, Rouse I. Prostate Cancer in Western Australia: trends in incidence and mortality from 1985 to 1996 MJA 1998; 169: 21-24.
  21. Smith DP, Supramaniam R, Marshall VR, et al. Prostate cancer and prostate-specific antigen testing in New South Wales. Med J Aust 2008;189(6):315-8.
  22. Carsin AE, Drummond FJ, Black A, et al. Impact of PSA testing and prostatic biopsy on cancer incidence and mortality: comparative study between the Republic of Ireland and Northern Ireland. Cancer Causes Control 2010;21(9):1523-31.
  23. Sirovich BE, Schwartz LM, Woloshin S. Screening men for prostate and colorectal cancer in the United States: does practice reflect the evidence? JAMA 2003; 289:1414-1420.
  24. Lifetime risk was calculated by the Statistical Information Team at Cancer Research UK, 2012.
  25. Ferlay J, Shin HR, Bray F, et al. Estimates of worldwide burden of cancer in 2008: GLOBOCAN 2008. Int J Cancer 2010;127:2893-917.
  26. Ferlay J, Shin HR, Bray F, et al. GLOBOCAN 2008 v1.2, Cancer incidence and mortality worldwide: IARC CancerBase No. 10 [Internet]. Lyon, France: International Agency for Research on Cancer; 2010. Available from http://globocan.iarc.fr. Accessed May 2011.
  27. Ferlay J, Soerjomataram I, Ervik M, et al. GLOBOCAN 2012 v1.0, Cancer Incidence and Mortality Worldwide: IARC CancerBase No. 11 [Internet]. Lyon, France: International Agency for Research on Cancer; 2013. Available from: http://globocan.iarc.fr, accessed December 2013.
  28. Ferlay J, Steliarova-Foucher E, Lortet-Tieulent J, et al.Cancer incidence and mortality patterns in Europe: Estimates for 40 countries in 2012. European Journal of Cancer (2013) 49, 1374-1403.
  29. European Age-Standardised rates calculated by the Cancer Research UK Statistical Information Team, 2011, using data from GLOBOCAN 2008 v1.2, IARC, version 1.2.
  30. Cancer Research UK and National Cancer Intelligence Network. Cancer by deprivation in England: Incidence, 1996-2010, Mortality, 1997-2011. London: NCIN; 2014.
  31. ISD Scotland. Cancer statistics. Cancer of the prostate. Accessed January 2013.
  32. Donnelly DW, Gavin AT, Comber H. Cancer in Ireland 1994-2004: A comprehensive report. Northern Ireland Cancer Registry/National Cancer Registry, Ireland; 2009.
  33. Welsh Cancer Intelligence and Surveillance Unit. Cancer in Wales, 1995-2009: A Comprehensive Report. Wales: 2011.
  34. National Cancer Intelligence Network (NCIN). One, Five and Ten Year Cancer Prevalence by Cancer Network, UK, 2006. London: NCIN; 2010.
  35. Esteve J, Benhamou E, Raymond L. Descriptive epidemiology [IARC Scientific Publications No.128], p 67-68. Lyon: International Agency for Research on Cancer; 1994.
  36. National Cancer Intelligence Network and Cancer Research UK. Cancer Incidence and Survival by Major Ethnic Group, England, 2002-2006. 2009.
  37. Howlader NA, Krapcho M, Neyman N, et al, eds. SEER Cancer Statistics Review, 1975-2009 (Vintage 2009 Populations). Bethesda, MD: National Cancer Institute. Available from: http://seer.cancer.gov/csr/1975_2009_pops09/.
  38. Ben-Shlomo Y, Evans S, Ibrahim F, et al. The risk of prostate cancer amongst black men in the United Kingdom: the PROCESS cohort study. Eur Urol 2008;53:99-105.
  39. Metcalfe C, Evans S, Ibrahim F, et al. Pathways to diagnosis for Black men and White men found to have prostate cancer: the PROCESS cohort study. Br J Cancer 2008;99:1040-5.
Updated: 11 June 2014