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Pancreatic cancer statistics
New cases of pancreatic cancer, 2015, UK
Deaths from pancreatic cancer, 2014, UK
Survive pancreatic cancer for 10 or more years, 2010-11, England and Wales
Preventable cases of pancreatic cancer, UK
- There are around 9,800 new pancreatic cancer cases in the UK every year, that's 27 every day (2013-2015).
- Pancreatic cancer is the 11th most common cancer in the UK, accounting for 3% of all new cancer cases (2015).
- In males in the UK, pancreatic cancer is the 12th most common cancer, with around 5,000 new cases in 2015.
- In females in the UK, pancreatic cancer is the 9th most common cancer, with around 5,000 new cases in 2015.
- Incidence rates for pancreatic cancer in the UK are highest in people aged 85 to 89 (2013-2015).
- Since the early 1990s, pancreatic cancer incidence rates have increased by around a seventh (15%) in the UK. Rates in males have increased by around a tenth (9%), and rates in females have increased by a sixth (17%).
- Over the last decade, pancreatic cancer incidence rates have increased by around a tenth (11%) in the UK. Rates in males have increased by around a tenth (9%), and rates in females have increased by around a tenth (11%).
- Around 8 in 10 pancreatic cancer cases are diagnosed at a late stage in England (2014) Scotland (2014).
- Incidence rates for pancreatic cancer are projected to rise by 6% in the UK between 2014 and 2035, to 21 cases per 100,000 people by 2035.
- 1 in 71 people will be diagnosed with pancreatic cancer during their lifetime.
- Pancreatic cancer in England is more common in people living in the most deprived areas.
- Pancreatic cancer is more common in White and Black people than in Asian people.
- An estimated 6,600 people who had previously been diagnosed with pancreatic cancer were alive in the UK at the end of 2010.
- In Europe, around 104,000 new cases of pancreatic cancer were estimated to have been diagnosed in 2012. The UK incidence rate is eighth lowest in Europe for males and 20th highest for females.
- Worldwide, around 338,000 people were estimated to have been diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in 2012, with incidence rates varying across the world.
- There were around 8,800 pancreatic cancer deaths in the UK in 2014, that’s 24 deaths every day.
- Pancreatic cancer is the fifth most common cause of cancer death in the UK (2014).
- Pancreatic cancer accounts for 5% of all cancer deaths in the UK (2014).
- In males in the UK, pancreatic cancer is the fifth most common cause of cancer death, with around 4,400 deaths in 2014.
- In females in the UK, pancreatic cancer is the fourth most common cause of cancer death, with around 4,400 deaths in 2014.
- Since the late 1970s, pancreatic cancer mortality rates remained stable in the UK. However, this overall pattern masks increased rates in females (12%) and decreased rates in males (14%).
- Over the last decade, pancreatic cancer mortality rates have increased by less than a tenth (7%) in the UK. The increase is similar in males (6%) and females (7%).
- Mortality rates for pancreatic cancer are projected to fall by 3% in the UK between 2014 and 2035, to 17 deaths per 100,000 people by 2035
- Pancreatic cancer deaths in England are more common in people living in the most deprived areas.
- In Europe, more than 104,000 people were estimated to have died from pancreatic cancer in 2012. The UK mortality rate is fifth lowest in Europe for males and 17th lowest for females.
- Worldwide, more than 330,000 people were estimated to have died from pancreatic cancer in 2012, with mortality rates varying across the world.
- Only 1% of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in England and Wales survive their disease for ten years or more (2010-11).
- Less than 5 in 100 (3%) of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in England and Wales survive their disease for five years or more (2010-11).
- Around a fifth (21%) of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in England and Wales survive their disease for one year or more (2010-11).
- Pancreatic cancer survival is similar in men than women.
- Pancreatic cancer survival in England is higher for people diagnosed aged under 50 years old (2009-2013).
- More than 3 in 20 men and around a quarter of women in England diagnosed with pancreatic cancer aged 15-49 survive their disease for five years or more, compared with only 2% of people diagnosed aged 80 and over (2009-2013).
- Pancreatic cancer survival has not shown much improvement in the last 40 years in the UK.
- In the 1970s, 1% of people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer survived their disease beyond ten years, now it's still 1%.
- Five-year relative survival for pancreatic cancer in men is below the European average in England, Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland.
- Five-year relative survival for pancreatic cancer in women is below the European average in England but similar to the European average in Wales.
- A person’s risk of developing cancer depends on many factors, including age, genetics, and exposure to risk factors (including some potentially avoidable lifestyle factors).
- 37% of pancreatic cancer cases each year in the UK are linked to major lifestyle and other risk factors.
- Smoking is the main avoidable risk factor for pancreatic cancer, linked to an estimated 29% of pancreatic cancer cases in the UK.
- An estimated 37% of pancreatic cancers in the UK are linked to lifestyle factors including smoking, and overweight and obesity (12%).
- Smokeless tobacco causes pancreatic cancer.
- Physical activity, fruits, and foods containing folate may relate to lower pancreatic cancer risk, but evidence is unclear.
- Alcohol, red meat, ionising radiation, and certain medical conditions and infections may relate to higher pancreatic cancer risk, but evidence is unclear.
- 'Emergency presentation' is the most common route to diagnosing pancreatic cancer.
- ‘Two-week wait’ standards are met by all countries, ‘31-day wait’ is met by all but Northern Ireland, and ‘62-day wait’ is not met by any country for upper gastrointestinal cancers.
- 10% of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer have surgery to remove the tumour as part of their primary cancer treatment.
- 5% of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer have radiotherapy as part of their primary cancer treatment.
- 28% of patients diagnosed with pancreatic cancer have chemotherapy as part of their primary cancer treatment.
The latest statistics available for pancreatic cancer in the UK are; incidence 2015, mortality 2014 and survival 2010-2011 (all ages combined) and 2009-2013 (by age).
European Age-Standardised Rates were calculated using the 1976 European Standard Population (ESP) unless otherwise stated as calculated with ESP2013. ASRs calculated with ESP2013 are not comparable with ASRs calculated with ESP1976.
Lifetime risk estimates were calculated using incidence, mortality, population and all-cause mortality data for 2012.
Survival statistics give an overall picture of survival and (unless otherwise stated) include all adults (15-99) diagnosed, at all ages,
Routes to diagnosis statistics were calculated from cases of cancer registered in England which were diagnosed in 2012-2013.
Cancer waiting times statistics are for patients who entered the health care system within financial year 2014-15. Pancreatic cancer is part of the group 'Upper Gastrointestinal cancer' for cancer waiting times data. Codes vary per country but broadly include: oesophagus, stomach, liver, gallbladder, other and unspecified parts of biliary tract, pancreas, secondary cancers of liver, intrahepatic bile duct and duodenum.
Cancer surgical resection rates data is for patients diagnosed in England between 2006 and 2010.
Patient Experience data is for adult patients in England with a primary diagnosis of cancer, who were in active treatment between September and November 2013 and who completed a survey in 2014.
Deprivation gradient statistics were calculated using incidence data for three time periods: 1996-2000, 2001-2005 and 2006-2010 and for mortality for two time periods: 2002-2006 and 2007-2011. The 1997-2001 mortality data were only used for the all cancers combined group as this time period includes the change in coding from ICD-9 to ICD-10. The deprivation quintiles were calculated using the Income domain scores from the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) from the following years: 2004, 2007 and 2010. Full details on the data and methodology can be found in the Cancer by Deprivation in England NCIN report.
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