Pancreatic cancer mortality statistics

Deaths

Deaths from pancreatic cancer, 2016, UK

 

Proportion of all deaths

Percentage pancreatic cancer is of total cancer deaths, 2016, UK

 

Age

Peak rate of pancreatic cancer deaths, 2014-2016, UK

 

Trend over time

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates have changed differently for each sex since the early 1970s, UK

Pancreatic cancer is the 6th most common cause of cancer death in the UK, accounting for 6% of all cancer deaths (2016).[1-3]

In males in the UK, pancreatic cancer is the 5th most common cause of cancer death (5% of all male cancer deaths). In females in the UK it is the 5th most common cause of cancer death (6% of all female cancer deaths).

51% of pancreatic cancer deaths in the UK are in males, and 49% are in females.

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates (European age-standardised (AS) rates Open a glossary item) for persons are significantly lower than the UK average in Scotland, and similar to the UK average in all other UK constituent countries.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), Number of Deaths, Crude and European Age-Standardised (AS) Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, UK, 2016

  England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland UK
Male Deaths 4003 353 238 131 4725
Crude Rate 14.7 13.4 15.5 14.3 14.6
AS Rate 17.6 15.5 16.3 18.4 17.4
AS Rate - 95% LCL 17.0 13.9 14.2 15.2 16.9
AS Rate - 95% UCL 18.1 17.1 18.4 21.5 17.8
Female Deaths 3813 366 241 118 4538
Crude Rate 13.6 13.2 15.3 12.5 13.6
AS Rate 13.6 12.8 13.7 13.7 13.6
AS Rate - 95% LCL 13.2 11.4 12.0 11.3 13.2
AS Rate - 95% UCL 14.1 14.1 15.4 16.2 14.0
Persons Deaths 7816 719 479 249 9263
Crude Rate 14.1 13.3 15.4 13.4 14.1
AS Rate 15.4 13.9 15.0 15.8 15.3
AS Rate - 95% LCL 15.1 12.9 13.7 13.9 15.0
AS Rate - 95% UCL 15.8 15.0 16.3 17.8 15.6

95% LCL and 95% UCL are the 95% lower and upper confidence limits Open a glossary item around the AS Rate Open a glossary item 
 

For pancreatic cancer, there are mortality differences between countries despite there being no such differences in incidence.

References

  1. Data were provided by the Office for National Statistics on request, October 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths.
  2. Data were provided by ISD Scotland on request, October 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Cancer/Publications/index.asp.
  3. Data were provided by the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry on request, December 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.qub.ac.uk/research-centres/nicr/.

About this data

Data is for UK, 2016, ICD-10 C25.

Last reviewed:

Pancreatic cancer mortality is strongly related to age, with the highest mortality rates being in older people. In the UK in 2014-2016, on average each year half (50%) of deaths were in people aged 75 and over.[1-3] This largely reflects higher incidence and lower survival for pancreatic cancer in older people.

Age-specific mortality rates rise steeply from around age 50-54 and drop slightly in the 90+ age group. The highest rates are in the 85 to 89 age group for males and females.

Mortality rates are significantly higher in males than females in a number of (mainly older) age groups. The gap is widest at age 40 to 44, when the age-specific mortality rate is 1.7 times higher in males than females.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), Average Number of Deaths per Year and Age-Specific Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, UK, 2014-2016

95% LCL and 95% UCL are the 95% lower and upper confidence limits Open a glossary item around the AS Rate Open a glossary item

References

  1. Data were provided by the Office for National Statistics on request, October 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths.
  2. Data were provided by ISD Scotland on request, October 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Cancer/Publications/index.asp
  3. Data were provided by the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry on request, December 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.qub.ac.uk/research-centres/nicr/.

About this data

Data is for UK, 2014-2016, ICD-10 C25.

Last reviewed:

Pancreatic cancer European age-standardised (AS) Open a glossary item mortality rates for males and females combined remained stable in the UK between 1971-1973 and 2014-2016.[1-3] The change varied markedly between sexes.

For males, pancreatic cancer AS mortality rates in the UK decreased by 13% between 1971-1973 and 2014-2016. For females, pancreatic cancer AS mortality rates in the UK increased by 11% between 1971-1973 and 2014-2016.

Over the last decade in the UK (between 2004-2006 and 2014-2016), pancreatic cancer AS mortality rates for males and females combined increased by 6%.[1-3] In males AS mortality rates increased by 6%, and in females rates increased by 6%.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, UK, 1971-2016

For most cancer types, mortality trends largely reflect incidence and survival trends. For example, rising mortality may reflect rising incidence and stable survival, while falling mortality may reflect rising incidence and rising survival.

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates have decreased overall in most broad adult age groups in males in the UK since the early 1970s, but have remained stable in some.[1-3] Rates in 25-49s have decreased by 41%, in 50-59s have decreased by 29%, in 60-69s have decreased by 20%, in 70-79s have decreased by 13%, and in 80+s have remained stable.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, By Age, Males, UK, 1971-2016

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates have varied between age groups in females in the UK since the early 1970s.[1-3] Rates in 25-49s have decreased by 40%, in 50-59s have decreased by 17%, in 60-69s have remained stable, in 70-79s have increased by 14%, and in 80+s have increased by 26%.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, By Age, Females, UK, 1971-2016

References

  1. Data were provided by the Office for National Statistics on request, October 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths.
  2. Data were provided by ISD Scotland on request, October 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Cancer/Publications/index.asp.
  3. Data were provided by the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry on request, December 2017. Similar data can be found here: http://www.qub.ac.uk/research-centres/nicr/.

About this data

Data is for UK, 1971-2016, ICD-10 C25.

Last reviewed:

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates are projected to fall by 3% in the UK between 2014 and 2035, to 17 deaths per 100,000 people by 2035.[1] This includes a smaller decrease for males than for females.

For males, pancreatic cancer European age-standardised (AS) Open a glossary item mortality rates in the UK are projected to fall by less than 1% between 2014 and 2035, to 20 deaths per 100,000 by 2035.[1] For females, rates are projected to fall by 6% between 2014 and 2035, to 15 deaths per 100,000 by 2035.[1]

Pancreatic cancer (C25), Observed and Projected Age-Standardised Mortality Rates, by Sex, UK, 1979-2035

It is projected that 13,004 deaths from pancreatic cancer (6,872 in males, 6,133 in females) will occur in the UK in 2035.

References

  1. Smittenaar CR, Petersen KA, Stewart K, Moitt N. Cancer Incidence and Mortality Projections in the UK Until 2035. Brit J Cancer 2016.

About this data

Data is for: UK, 1979-2014 (observed), 2015-2035 (projected), ICD-10 C25

Projections are based on observed incidence and mortality rates and therefore implicitly include changes in cancer risk factors, diagnosis and treatment. It is not possible to assess the statistical significance of changes between 2014 (observed) and 2035 (projected) figures. Confidence intervals are not calculated for the projected figures. Projections are by their nature uncertain because unexpected events in future could change the trend. It is not sensible to calculate a boundary of uncertainty around these already uncertain point estimates. Changes are described as 'increase' or 'decrease' if there is any difference between the point estimates.

More on projections methodology

Last reviewed:

There is evidence for an association between pancreatic cancer mortality and deprivation for both males and females in England.[1] England-wide data for 2007-2011 show European age-standardised Open a glossary item mortality rates are 20% higher for males living in the most deprived areas compared with the least deprived, and 25% higher for females.[1]

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates by Deprivation Quintile, England, 2007-2011

The estimated deprivation gradient in pancreatic cancer mortality between people living in the most and least deprived areas in England has not changed in the period 2002-2011.[1] It has been estimated that there would have been around 430 fewer cancer deaths each year in England during 2007-2011 if all people experienced the same mortality rates as the least deprived.[1]

References

  1. Cancer Research UK and National Cancer Intelligence Network. Cancer by deprivation in England: Incidence, 1996-2010, Mortality, 1997-2011. London: NCIN; 2014.

About this data

Data is for: UK, 2007-2011, ICD-10 C25

Deprivation gradient statistics were calculated using mortality data for 2007-2011. The deprivation quintiles were calculated using the Income domain scores from the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) from the following years: 2004, 2007 and 2010. Full details on the data and methodology can be found in the Cancer by Deprivation in England NCIN report.

Last reviewed:

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