Pancreatic cancer mortality statistics

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Deaths

Deaths from pancreatic cancer, 2016-2018, UK.

Proportion of all deaths

Percentage pancreatic cancer contributes to total cancer deaths, 2016-2018, UK

 

Age

Peak rate of pancreatic cancer deaths, 2016-2018, UK

 

Trend over time

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates have changed differently for each sex since the early 1970s, UK

Pancreatic cancer is the 6th most common cause of cancer death in the UK, accounting for 6% of all cancer deaths (2018).[1-3]

In females in the UK, pancreatic cancer is the 5th most common cause of cancer death (6% of all female cancer deaths). In males in the UK, it is the 5th most common cause of cancer death (6% of all male cancer deaths).

48% of pancreatic cancer deaths in the UK are in females, and 52% are in males (2018).

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates (European age-standardised (AS) rates) Open a glossary item are similar to the UK average in all the UK constituent countries.

For pancreatic cancer mortality rates do not vary between UK constituent nations however incidence rates do vary between the UK constituent nations.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), Number of Deaths, Crude and European Age-Standardised (AS) Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, UK, 2018

  England Scotland Wales Northern Ireland UK
Female Deaths 3,868 392 237 118 4,615
Crude Rate 13.7 14.1 14.9 12.4 13.7
AS Rate 13.4 13.2 13.2 13.2 13.3
AS Rate - 95% LCL 12.9 11.9 11.5 10.8 12.9
AS Rate - 95% UCL 13.8 14.5 14.9 15.6 13.7
Male Deaths 4,163 419 253 123 4,958
Crude Rate 15.0 15.8 16.4 13.3 15.1
AS Rate 17.5 18.1 16.8 17.8 17.5
AS Rate - 95% LCL 17.0 16.4 14.7 14.7 17.0
AS Rate - 95% UCL 18.0 19.8 18.9 21.0 18.0
Persons Deaths 8,031 811 490 241 9,573
Crude Rate 14.3 14.9 15.6 12.8 14.4
AS Rate 15.2 15.4 14.9 15.1 15.2
AS Rate - 95% LCL 14.9 14.3 13.6 13.2 14.9
AS Rate - 95% UCL 15.6 16.4 16.2 17.0 15.5

95% LCL and 95% UCL are the 95% lower and upper confidence limits Open a glossary item around the AS Rate Open a glossary item 

References

  1. Data were provided by the Office for National Statistics on request, November 2019. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths.
  2. Data were provided by ISD Scotland on request, October 2019. Similar data can be found here: http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Cancer/Publications/index.asp.
  3. Data were provided by the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry on request, June 2020. Similar data can be found here: http://www.qub.ac.uk/research-centres/nicr/.

About this data

Data is for UK, 2018, C25.

Last reviewed:

Pancreatic cancer mortality is strongly related to age, with the highest mortality rates being in older people. In the UK in 2016-2018, on average each year around half of deaths (51%) were in people aged 75 and over.[1-3] This largely reflects higher incidence and lower survival for pancreatic cancer in older people.

Age-specific mortality rates rise steeply from around age 50-54. The highest rates are in the 85 to 89 age group for females and the 90+ age group for males. Mortality rates are significantly lower in females than males in a number of (mainly older) age groups.The gap is widest at age 45 to 49, when the age-specific mortality rate is 1.8 times lower in females than males.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), Average Number of Deaths per Year and Age-Specific Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, UK, 2016-2018

References

  1. Data were provided by the Office for National Statistics on request, November 2019. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths.
  2. Data were provided by ISD Scotland on request, October 2019. Similar data can be found here: http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Cancer/Publications/index.asp.
  3. Data were provided by the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry on request, June 2020. Similar data can be found here: http://www.qub.ac.uk/research-centres/nicr/.

About this data

Data is for UK, 2016-2018, ICD-10 C25.

Last reviewed:

Pancreatic cancer European age-standardised (AS) mortality rates for females and males combined remained stable in the UK between 1971-1973 and 2016-2018.[1-3] The change varied markedly between sexes.

For females, pancreatic cancer AS mortality rates in the UK increased by 12% between 1971-1973 and 2016-2018. For males, pancreatic cancer AS mortality rates in the UK decreased by 11% between 1971-1973 and 2016-2018.

Over the last decade in the UK (between 2006-2008 and 2016-2018), pancreatic cancer AS mortality rates for females and males combined increased by 5%. In females AS mortality rates remained stable, and in males rates increased by 6%.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, UK, 1971-2018

For most cancer types, mortality trends largely reflect incidence and survival trends. For example, rising mortality may reflect rising incidence and stable survival, while falling mortality may reflect rising incidence and rising survival.

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates have varied between age groups in females in the UK since the early 1970s.[1-3] Rates in 25-49s have decreased by 37%, in 50-59s have decreased by 16%, in 60-69s have remained stable, in 70-79s have increased by 14% and in 80+s have increased by 29%.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, By Age, Females, UK, 1971-2018

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates have decreased overall in most broad adult age groups in males in the UK since the early 1970s, but have remained stable in some.[1-3] Rates in 25-49s have decreased by 39%, in 50-59s have decreased by 31%, in 60-69s have decreased by 18%, in 70-79s have decreased by 11% and in 80+s have remained stable.

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates per 100,000 Population, By Age, Males, UK, 1971-2018

References

  1. Data were provided by the Office for National Statistics on request, November 2019. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths.
  2. Data were provided by ISD Scotland on request, October 2019. Similar data can be found here: http://www.isdscotland.org/Health-Topics/Cancer/Publications/index.asp.
  3. Data were provided by the Northern Ireland Cancer Registry on request, June 2020. Similar data can be found here: http://www.qub.ac.uk/research-centres/nicr/.

About this data

Data is for UK, 1971-2018, C25.

Last reviewed:

Pancreatic cancer mortality rates are projected to fall by 3% in the UK between 2014 and 2035, to 17 deaths per 100,000 people by 2035.[1] This includes a smaller decrease for males than for females.

For males, pancreatic cancer European age-standardised (AS) Open a glossary item mortality rates in the UK are projected to fall by less than 1% between 2014 and 2035, to 20 deaths per 100,000 by 2035.[1] For females, rates are projected to fall by 6% between 2014 and 2035, to 15 deaths per 100,000 by 2035.[1]

Pancreatic cancer (C25), Observed and Projected Age-Standardised Mortality Rates, by Sex, UK, 1979-2035

It is projected that 13,004 deaths from pancreatic cancer (6,872 in males, 6,133 in females) will occur in the UK in 2035.

References

  1. Smittenaar CR, Petersen KA, Stewart K, Moitt N. Cancer Incidence and Mortality Projections in the UK Until 2035. Brit J Cancer 2016.

About this data

Data is for: UK, 1979-2014 (observed), 2015-2035 (projected), ICD-10 C25

Projections are based on observed incidence and mortality rates and therefore implicitly include changes in cancer risk factors, diagnosis and treatment. It is not possible to assess the statistical significance of changes between 2014 (observed) and 2035 (projected) figures. Confidence intervals are not calculated for the projected figures. Projections are by their nature uncertain because unexpected events in future could change the trend. It is not sensible to calculate a boundary of uncertainty around these already uncertain point estimates. Changes are described as 'increase' or 'decrease' if there is any difference between the point estimates.

More on projections methodology

Last reviewed:

There is evidence for an association between pancreatic cancer mortality and deprivation for both males and females in England.[1] England-wide data for 2007-2011 show European age-standardised Open a glossary item mortality rates are 20% higher for males living in the most deprived areas compared with the least deprived, and 25% higher for females.[1]

Pancreatic Cancer (C25), European Age-Standardised Mortality Rates by Deprivation Quintile, England, 2007-2011

The estimated deprivation gradient in pancreatic cancer mortality between people living in the most and least deprived areas in England has not changed in the period 2002-2011.[1] It has been estimated that there would have been around 430 fewer cancer deaths each year in England during 2007-2011 if all people experienced the same mortality rates as the least deprived.[1]

References

  1. Cancer Research UK and National Cancer Intelligence Network. Cancer by deprivation in England: Incidence, 1996-2010, Mortality, 1997-2011. London: NCIN; 2014.

About this data

Data is for: UK, 2007-2011, ICD-10 C25

Deprivation gradient statistics were calculated using mortality data for 2007-2011. The deprivation quintiles were calculated using the Income domain scores from the Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD) from the following years: 2004, 2007 and 2010. Full details on the data and methodology can be found in the Cancer by Deprivation in England NCIN report.

Last reviewed:

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Acknowledgements

We are grateful to the many organisations across the UK which collect, analyse, and share the data which we use, and to the patients and public who consent for their data to be used. Find out more about the sources which are essential for our statistics.