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Stomach cancer survival statistics

One-, five- and ten-year survival statistics for stomach cancer by age and trends over time are presented here.

Find out more about the counting and coding of this data.

One-, five- and ten-year survival

44% of men survive stomach cancer for at least one year, and this is predicted to fall to 20% surviving for five years or more, as shown by age-standardised net survival for patients diagnosed with stomach cancer during 2010-2011 in England and Wales (Table 3.1).1 Survival for women is slightly lower at one year but similar at five years, with 38% surviving for one year or more, and 18% predicted to survive for at least five years.

Table 3.1: Stomach cancer (C16), Age-Standardised One-, Five- and Ten-Year Net Survival, Adults (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 2005-2011

1-Year Survival (%) 5-Year Survival (%) 10-Year Survival (%)
Men Net Survival 43.9 19.5 15.3
95% LCL 43.6 18.3 13.3
95% UCL 44.2 20.7 17.3
Women Net Survival 38.0 17.9 14.6
95% LCL 37.5 16.2 12.0
95% UCL 38.6 19.6 17.4
Adults Net Survival 41.8 18.9 15.0
95% LCL 41.6 18.0 13.5
95% UCL 42.1 19.9 16.7

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95% LCL and 95% UCL are the 95% lower and upper confidence limits
Five- and ten-year survival is predicted using an excess hazard statistical model

Stomach cancer survival gradually continues to fall beyond five years after diagnosis in men, though in women the decrease is not significant. 15% each of men and women are predicted to survive their disease for ten years or more, as shown by age-standardised net survival for patients diagnosed with stomach cancer during 2010-2011 in England and Wales (Figure 3.1).1 Out of 20 common cancers in England and Wales, ten-year survival for stomach cancer ranks 5th lowest overall.

Figure 3.1: Stomach Cancer (C16), Net Survival up to Ten Years after Diagnosis, Adults (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 2010-2011

surv_curve_stomach.swf

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Survival for stomach cancer is reported in Scotland and Northern Ireland,2,3 though it is difficult to make survival comparisons between countries due to different methodologies and criteria for including patients in analyses.

section reviewed 10/12/14
section updated 10/12/14

By age 

Five-year survival for stomach cancer is highest in the youngest men and women and generally decreases with increasing age. Five-year net survival in men ranges from 35% in 15-39 year-olds to 8% in 80-99 year-olds for patients diagnosed with stomach cancer in England during 2007-2011 (Figure 3.2).4 In women, five-year survival ranges from 40% to 8% in the same age groups.

Figure 3.2: Stomach Cancer (C16), Five-Year Net Survival by Age, England, 2007-2011

surv_5yr_age_stomach.swf

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section reviewed 10/12/14
section updated 10/12/14

Trends over time

As with most cancers, survival for stomach cancer is improving. One-year age-standardised net survival for stomach cancer in men has increased from 15% during 1971-1972 to 44% during 2010-2011 in England and Wales – an absolute survival difference of 29 percentage points (Figure 3.3).1 In women, one-year survival has increased from 16% to 38% over the same time period (a difference of 22 percentage points).

Figure 3.3: Stomach Cancer (C16), Age-Standardised One-Year Net Survival, Adults (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 1971-2011

surv_1yr_stomach.swf

Download this chart XLS (46KB) PPT (126KB) PDF (53KB)

Five- and ten-year survival has increased by a lesser amount than one-year survival since the early 1970s. Five-year age-standardised net survival for stomach cancer in men has increased from 5% during 1971-1972 to a predicted survival of 20% during 2010-2011 in England and Wales – an absolute survival difference of 14 percentage points (Figure 3.4).1 In women, five-year survival has increased from 5% to 18% over the same time period (a difference of 13 percentage points).

Figure 3.4: Stomach Cancer (C16), Age-Standardised Five-Year Net Survival, Adults (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 1971-2011

surv_5yr_stomach.swf

Download this chart XLS (45KB) PPT (126KB) PDF (54KB)

Five-year survival for 2010-2011 is predicted using an excess hazard statistical model

Ten-year age-standardised net survival for stomach cancer in men has increased from 4% during 1971-1972 to a predicted survival of 15% during 2010-2011 in England and Wales – an absolute survival difference of 11 percentage points (Figure 3.5).1 In women, ten-year survival has increased from 4% to 15% over the same time period (a difference of 11 percentage points). Overall, more than 1 in 7 people diagnosed with stomach cancer today are predicted to survive their disease for at least ten years.

Figure 3.5: Stomach cancer (C16), Age-Standardised Ten-Year Net Survival, Adults (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 1971-2011

surv_10yr_stomach.swf

Download this chart XLS (45KB) PPT (126KB) PDF (53KB)

Ten-year survival for 2005-2006 and 2010-2011 is predicted using an excess hazard statistical model

section reviewed 10/12/14
section updated 10/12/14

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References for stomach cancer survival

  1. Cancer Research UK Cancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Personal communication, 2014.
  2. ISD Scotland. Trends in Cancer Survival 1983-2007.
  3. Northern Ireland Cancer Registry. Incidence & Survival 1993-2012.
  4. Office for National Statistics. Statistical Bulletin: Cancer survival in England: Patients diagnosed 2007-2011 and followed up to 2012. Newport: ONS; 2013.
Updated: 10 December 2014