Pancreatic cancer

Survival for pancreatic cancer

Survival depends on many factors. Unfortunately, pancreatic cancer is often diagnosed at a late stage. Your outlook (prognosis) is better if the cancer hasn't spread and you can have it removed.

Survival depends on many factors. No one can tell you exactly how long you will live.

Below are general statistics based on large groups of people. Remember, they can’t tell you what will happen in your individual case.

About these statistics

The terms 1 year survival, 3 year survival and 5 year survival do not mean that you will only live for 1, 3 or 5 years.

Statisticians and researchers collect information. They watch what happens to people with cancer in the years after their diagnosis. 5 years is a common time point to measure survival. But some people live longer than this.

5 year survival is the number of people who have not died from their cancer within 5 years after diagnosis.

Survival by stage

There are different types of pancreatic cancer. Most pancreatic cancers are the exocrine type. This means they start in cells that produce a juice that helps us digest our food (digestive juice).

Cancer can also start in cells that make insulin and hormones. Doctors call these pancreatic neuroendocrine cancers.

This survival by stage information comes from a large study looking at the cancer registries of 7 countries. Cancer registries collect information about a person’s cancer directly from hospitals and healthcare professionals.

The information about survival by stage is for people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer between 2012 and 2014.

This study included the UK. But the researchers excluded Scotland as there was missing information. So the following is based on England, Wales and Northern Ireland.

The statistics are split into 3 stage groups – localised, regional and distant cancers. In the UK, your doctor might not use these terms. Instead, they might describe the cancer as a number stage (stage 1 to 4). The following descriptions are a guide to help you understand whether the cancer is localised, regional or distant.

This isn’t always straight forward and will depend on your individual situation. Talk to your specialist if you are unsure which group you are in.

  • Localised cancer means the cancer has not spread beyond the pancreas.

  • Regional cancer means the cancer has spread to nearby .

  • Distant cancer means the cancer has spread to another part of your body.

Read more about the stages and types of pancreatic cancer

Localised

  • Almost 55 out of 100 people (almost 55%) survive their cancer for 1 year or more after diagnosis.

  • More than 25 out of 100 people (more than 25%) survive their cancer for 3 years or more after diagnosis. 

Regional

  • Around 50 out of 100 people (around 50%) survive their cancer for 1 year or more after diagnosis.

  • Around 15 out of 100 people (around 15%) survive their cancer for 3 years or more after diagnosis.

Distant

  • Around 10 out of 100 people (around 10%) survive their cancer for 1 year or more after diagnosis.

  • Only 1 out of 100 people (1%) survive their cancer for 3 years or more after diagnosis.

Survival for all stages of pancreatic cancer

The UK survival statistics come from England and Wales. Scotland and Northern Ireland have a similar population and health care system. So we can apply these survival statistics to the whole of the UK.

Generally for adults with pancreatic cancer in the UK:

  • 25 out of every 100 (25%) survive their cancer for 1 year or more

  • more than 5 out of every 100 (more than 5%) survive their cancer for 5 years or more 

  • around 5 out of every 100 (around 5%) survive their cancer for 10 years or more

One reason for the poor outlook for pancreatic cancer is that it is often diagnosed late. The cancer is very often quite advanced and surgery to remove it isn’t possible.

Survival for pancreatic neuroendocrine cancer

Pancreatic neuroendocrine cancers are an uncommon type of pancreatic cancer.

Read more about pancreatic neuroendocrine cancers

The following statistics are for survival for the different stages of all types of pancreatic neuroendocrine cancer. We have statistics for:

  • all types of pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours (NETs) - this includes insulinoma, gastrinoma, VIPoma, glucagonoma, somatostatinoma and non functioning pancreatic NETs

  • pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinomas (NECs)

Survival for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumours

Stage 1 pancreatic NETs
  • More than 85 out of 100 people (more than 85%) survive for 5 years or more.

Stage 2 pancreatic NETs
  • 85 out of 100 people (85%) survive for 5 years or more.

Stage 3 pancreatic NETs
  • Around 70 out of 100 people (around 70%) survive for 5 years or more.

Stage 4 pancreatic NETs
  • Around 25% out of 100 people (around 25%) survive for 5 years or more.

Survival for pancreatic neuroendocrine carcinomas (NECs)

Stage 1 pancreatic NECs
  • Around 70 out of 100 people (around 70%) survive for 5 years or more.

Stage 2 pancreatic NECs
  • Around 60 out of 100 people (around 60%) survive for 5 years or more.

Stage 3 pancreatic NECs
  • Almost 35 out of 100 people (almost 35%) survive for 5 years or more.

Stage 4 pancreatic NECs
  • Around 10 out of 100 people (around 10%) survive for 5 years or more.

What affects survival

Your outlook depends on the stage of the cancer when it was diagnosed. This means how big it is and whether it has spread.

The type of pancreatic cancer and grade of the cancer cells can also affect your likely survival. Grade means how abnormal the cells look under the microscope.

Your general health and fitness also affect survival. This is because the better your health, the more likely you may be able to cope with the cancer and your treatment.

More statistics

For more in-depth information about survival and other statistics for pancreatic cancer, go to our Cancer Statistics section.

Last reviewed: 25 Jun 2026

Next review due: 25 Jun 2029

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