Breast cancer survival statistics

Survival

Survive breast cancer for 10 or more years (females only), 2010-11, England and Wales

Age

Age that breast cancer survival is highest, 2009-2013, England

 

Improvement

Breast cancer survival in the UK has doubled in the last 40 years

 

96% of women survive breast cancer for at least one year, and this is predicted to fall to 87% surviving for five years or more, as shown by age-standardised Open a glossary item  net survival  for patients diagnosed with breast cancer during 2010-2011 in England and Wales.[1]

Breast Cancer (C50), Age-Standardised One-, Five- and Ten-Year Net Survival, Women (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 2010-2011

1-Year Survival (%) 5-Year Survival (%) 10-Year Survival (%)
Women Net Survival 96.0 86.6 78.4
95% LCL 96.0 86.6 78.3
95% UCL 96.0 86.6 78.4

95% LCL and 95% UCL are the 95% lower and upper confidence limits Open a glossary item 

Five- and ten-year survival is predicted using an excess hazard statistical model

Female breast cancer survival continues to fall beyond five years after diagnosis. 78% of women are predicted to survive their disease for ten years or more, as shown by age-standardised net survival for patients diagnosed with breast cancer during 2010-2011 in England and Wales.[1] Out of 20 common cancers in England and Wales, ten-year survival for breast cancer in women ranks 5th highest overall (and 3rd highest for females only).

Breast Cancer (C50), Net Survival up to Ten Years after Diagnosis, Women (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 2010-2011

For women diagnosed with breast cancer during 2001-2003 in England and Wales, 65% are expected to survive for twenty years or more.[2]

Survival for female breast cancer is reported in Scotland and Northern Ireland,[3,4] though it is difficult to make survival comparisons between countries due to different methodologies and criteria for including patients in analyses.

References

  1. Cancer Research UK Cancer Survival Group, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. Personal communication, 2014. 
  2. Twenty-year survival data for 2001-2003. Office for National Statistics (ONS). Cancer survival rates, Long-term Breast Cancer Survival, England and Wales. London: ONS; 2005. 
  3. ISD Scotland. Trends in Cancer Survival 1983-2007.
  4. Northern Ireland Cancer Registry. Incidence & Survival 1993-2012.
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Five-year survival for female breast cancer shows an unusual pattern with age: survival gradually increases from 85% in women aged 15-39 and peaks at 92% in 60-69 year olds; survival falls thereafter, reaching its lowest point of 70% in 80-99 year-olds for patients diagnosed with breast cancer in England during 2009-2013.[1]

Breast Cancer (C50), Five-Year Net Survival by Age, Women, England, 2009-2013

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As with most cancers, survival for female breast cancer is improving. One-year age-standardised Open a glossary item net survival for breast cancer in women has increased from 82% during 1971-1972 to 96% during 2010-2011 in England and Wales – an absolute survival difference Open a glossary item of 14 percentage points.[1]

Breast Cancer (C50), Age-Standardised One-Year Net Survival, Women (Aged 15-99), England and Wales, 1971-2011

Five- and ten-year survival has increased by an even greater amount than one-year survival since the early 1970s. Five-year age-standardised net survival for breast cancer in women has increased from 53% during 1971-1972 to a predicted survival of 87% during 2010-2011 in England and Wales – an absolute survival difference of 34 percentage points.[1]

Breast Cancer (C50), Age-Standardised Five-Year Net Survival, Women (Aged 15-99), England and Wales 1971-2011

Five-year survival for 2010-2011 is predicted using an excess hazard statistical model

Ten-year age-standardised net survival for breast cancer in women has increased from 40% during 1971-1972 to a predicted survival of 78% during 2010-2011 in England and Wales – an absolute survival difference of 38 percentage points.[1] Overall, almost 8 in 10 women diagnosed with breast cancer today are predicted to survive their disease for at least ten years.

Breast Cancer (C50), Age-Standardised Ten-Year Net Survival, Women (Aged 15-99), England and Wales 1971-2011

Ten-year survival for 2005-2006 and 2010-2011 is predicted using an excess hazard statistical model

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Survival for breast cancer is strongly related to the stage of the disease at diagnosis. 

One-year net survival for breast cancer is highest for patients diagnosed at stage I, and lowest for those diagnosed at stage IV, 2014 data for England show.[1] 100% of patients diagnosed at stage I survived their disease for at least one year, versus 63% of patients diagnosed at stage IV.[1]

One-year net survival for unknown stage breast cancer is 85%. Lack of staging information may in some cases reflect advanced stage at diagnosis: for example very unwell patients may not undergo staging tests if the invasiveness of the testing outweighs the potential benefit of obtaining stage information.[1]

Breast Cancer (C50), One-Year Age Standardised Net Survival by Stage, Adults (Ages 15-99 Years), England 2014

One-year relative survival is similar between women living in the most and least deprived areas, at all stages, 2012 data for England show.[2]

Five-year survival for female breast cancer shows a much more rapid decrease in survival between Stages I and IV. Five-year relative survival in women ranges from 99% at Stage I to 15% at Stage IV for patients diagnosed during 2002-2006 in the former Anglia Cancer Network.[3]

Breast Cancer (C50), Five-Year Relative Survival by Stage, Women (Aged 15-99 Years), Former Anglia Cancer Network, 2002-2006

References

  1. Office for National Statistics, Cancer survival by stage at diagnosis for England, 2016.
  2. National Cancer Intelligence Network. Stage Breakdown by CCG 2013. London: NCIN; 2015.
  3. Data were provided by The National Cancer Registration Service Eastern Office on request. Similar data can be found here: http://www.ncras.nhs.uk/ncrs-east/

About this data

Data is for: England, 2014 (one-year), Former Anglia Cancer Network, 2002-2006 (five-year), ICD-10 C50

Survival statistics give an overall picture of survival and the survival time experienced by an individual patient may be much higher or lower, depending on specific patient and tumour characteristics.

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Five-year relative survival for breast cancer in women in England (79%) is below the average for Europe (82%). Scotland (79%) and Wales (78%) are also below the European average, but Northern Ireland (82%) is similar to the European average.[1] Across the European countries for which data is available, five-year relative survival in women ranges from 67% (Lithuania) to 87% (Iceland).[1]

Breast Cancer (C50.0-C50.9), Age-Standardised Five-Year Relative Survival, Women (Aged 15+), European Countries, 2000-2007

Data consists of both observed and predicted 5-year relative survival. Where sufficient follow-up was not available for recently diagnosed patients the period approach was used to predict 5-year cohort survival.

Possible explanations for persistent international differences in survival include differences in cancer biology, use of diagnostic tests and screening, stage at diagnosis, access to high-quality care, and data collection practices.[1]

References

  1. De Angelis R, Sant M, Coleman MP, et al. Cancer survival in Europe 1999-2007 by country and age: results of EUROCARE-5 - a population-based study. Lancet Oncol 2014;15:23-34

About this data

Data is for: 29 European countries, patients diagnosed in 2000-2007 and followed up to 2008, breast cancer (International Classification of Diseases for Oncology [ICD-O-3] C50.0-C50.9).

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Cancer stats explained

See information and explanations on terminology used for statistics and reporting of cancer, and the methods used to calculate some of our statistics.

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